October 27, 2009

Collusion, anyone?

by

In an essay on his personal blog, Thomas Nelson CEO Mike Hyatt lays out perhaps the most concise detailing so far of how the Walmart/Amazon/Target price war is laying waste to the literary lanscape — threatening, he says, even the devil-may-care mega-retailers themselves.  “The mass retailers have had the luxury of being able to skim the cream off the publishing milk pail without investing in the process that creates the milk in the first place,” he says. “In my opinion, they are about to kill the cow.”

His notes on authors, publishers, and consumers are equally, brutally, to the point:

For consumers: “Yes, lower prices are good for consumers — in the short run. But they are not good in the long run if authors and publishers are no longer willing to assume the risk of creating and producing the kind of quality and selection consumers currently enjoy.”

For publishers: “Amazon, Walmart, and Target are systematically conditioning consumers to expect these lower [i.e., untenable] prices.”

For authors: “If retail prices collapse, it will mean that royalties and advances will also fall. You don’t have to be a mathematician to figure out that 10-15% of $9.00 is dramatically less than the same percentage of $25-35.”

For other booksellers: “Booksellers count on these same bestsellers to bring customers to their stores. Most are willing to discount the books and accept lower margins, but few are in a position to actually lose money on every sale. It is not a sustainable model.”

And yet Hyatt doesn’t approve of the call by the American Booksellers Association for the Justice Department to step in. (See the recent MobyLives report.) (And by the way, it should be noted here that the ABA is the only trade organization to speak out for the American reader, let alone its membership. Where is the Author’s Guild? The Association of American Publishers? Busy renegotiating their 30 pieces of silver with Google.) Says Hyatt: “I do not believe that asking the government to solve the problem is helpful. I think this will only lead to more red-tape, additional cost, and a raft of unintended consequences.”

“Instead,” says Hyatt, “I think that the publishers themselves need to find the courage to act in everyone’s long-term interests. As the content providers, they have all the power they need to stop these pricing practices.”

It is a bracing call in an industry famous for its lack of backbone. After all, this is the only industry that allows returns, something no one seems to like yet no one has moved to stop for decades now. And more to the point, it has similarly allowed discounts to continue for years … until what’s going on now seems to be a case of reaping what you sow.

But Hyatt suggests, for one thing, controllng the release of certain formats to certain kinds of retailers. For example, if Amazon won’t raise their ebook prices to reflect the costs of front list titles, he says “we as publishers should delay the release of eBooks and think of them more as a digital mass market product.”

However, he’s got something even more radical up his sleeve:

According to anti-trust legislation, it is illegal for publishers to dictate the ultimate price at which a reseller sells a product. Moreover, publishers cannot act in concert with one another to establish fixed prices or discounts. But any publisher can act unilaterally to establish a minimum advertised price. Using the MAP model, Amazon, et. al., could sell their books for any price they want, but they could not advertise a price that is below the minimum.

But that’s ultimately toothless, and more importantly, Hyatt isn’t necessarily right. That is, it’s not illegal for publishers to collude on setting a floor price for books — i.e., to stop discounting. Not according to a June 29th, 2007 Supreme Court decision that overturned a 96-year-old antitrust rule that said “resale price maintenance agreements were an automatic, or per se, violation of the Sherman Antitrust Act.” As this New York Times report on the decision explains, the Court ruled that it is sometimes permissable for “manufacturers and distributors to agree on setting minimum retail prices” if it promotes competition and is therefore beneficial to the consumer.

At the time of the decision, I contacted Wall Street Journal book industry report Jeffrey A. Trachtenberg and told him that I thought the ruling meant the book industry could finally put an end to discounting. To my mind, it would have led to a scenario like that of Germany or France — the healthiest book cultures I know — where “net pricing” laws assure that everyone must sell a book for the same, marked price. Little indie booksellers have a chance against giants, and publishers would be able to price their books more accurately to costs. (See the earlier MobyLives report.) Intrigued, Trachtenberg called the legal offices of several of the big publishers in New York — he wouldn’t say which ones — to see if they agreed with my reading of the decision. Then he called me back to say that they all did … and they wondered if I wanted to be the first to test it?

Well, as much as we here at Melville House — the “best small press of the year,” after all — like to think we lead the industry in some things, that was too big a windmill for us to attack. And the bigger boys who could have pulled it off, you’ll be shocked to hear, stayed as timid as ever. But times have gotten more extreme and maybe … well ….

You say you want a revolution — here’s the plan.

Dennis Johnson is the founder of MobyLives, and the co-founder and co-publisher of Melville House.

  • Craig

    Wait, did you really just write a column bemoaning the spineless of other publishers to do something you’re also afraid to do?

    Think of the PR you’d get for having the balls to do this. At the same time, you’d make your books seem more valuable. (It’s not like it’s a mass market audience that buys MH books anyway.)

    C’mon, you can do it!

  • Craig

    Wait, did you really just write a column bemoaning the spineless of other publishers to do something you’re also afraid to do?

    Think of the PR you’d get for having the balls to do this. At the same time, you’d make your books seem more valuable. (It’s not like it’s a mass market audience that buys MH books anyway.)

    C’mon, you can do it!

  • Luke Woods

    Great post.

  • Luke Woods

    Great post.

  • http://mhpbooks.com/mobylives Dennis Johnson

    I think it’s more fair to say I’m bemoaning — well, something stronger than bemoaning — other publishers for not doing something I CAN’T do at Melville House. Yeah, we’d get great PR, but we’d also go out of business. You’re mistaken in where you seem to think we sell books — while we do sell a lot of books at indies, and run an indie bookshop ourselves, and feel a natural bond with them as fellow indies, our biggest accounts are Amazon, Barnes & Noble, and Borders. In fact, that’s something we’re proud of — bringing the kind of leftist, avant-gardist and outsider writing we specialize in to the mass market. And the fact of the matter is we can’t dictate terms to the big boys. (Anybody who knows my public history with Amazon, for example, knows how I know this.) They would simply stop carrying our books. So I would have screwed our authors, our staff, and our company. And what wacko publisher would hire big-mouthed, unemployed me?

  • http://mhpbooks.com/mobylives Dennis Johnson

    I think it’s more fair to say I’m bemoaning — well, something stronger than bemoaning — other publishers for not doing something I CAN’T do at Melville House. Yeah, we’d get great PR, but we’d also go out of business. You’re mistaken in where you seem to think we sell books — while we do sell a lot of books at indies, and run an indie bookshop ourselves, and feel a natural bond with them as fellow indies, our biggest accounts are Amazon, Barnes & Noble, and Borders. In fact, that’s something we’re proud of — bringing the kind of leftist, avant-gardist and outsider writing we specialize in to the mass market. And the fact of the matter is we can’t dictate terms to the big boys. (Anybody who knows my public history with Amazon, for example, knows how I know this.) They would simply stop carrying our books. So I would have screwed our authors, our staff, and our company. And what wacko publisher would hire big-mouthed, unemployed me?

  • Steve F

    Nice post, and definitely an important topic right now with ereaders about to change the market again, but the pricing question is part of more than just the world of books — rather it’s the application of the Walmart model to that world, with amazon and B&N getting ahead of big W by trading on their specialization (though amazon contributes to this ultimately terminal conditioning of the consumer in other areas too).
    I also appreciate your reply to comment 1: there is an inexorability to the race to the price bottom that, until the whole thing crashes and burns, means you can participate on those terms or get right out of the whole business.
    I personally don’t believe the Justice Dept. approach will get very far if it’s an isolated case: the US business method is part of a social whole, and you can’t use Germany or France (or Japan, not to leave out perhaps an even stronger model) as a guide in one area where the entire culture is different in so many other ways.
    I don’t want to end negative, so let me add: small indie booksellers round here (western MA/eastern NY) are amazingly creative and work to pull people into the store by any means–and then we consumers buy stuff (not just books). Amazon doesn’t have stores, and who wants to go into a Walmart? If indies keep pushing an alternative to “low price is everything” maybe the consumer can be reconditioned?

  • Steve F

    Nice post, and definitely an important topic right now with ereaders about to change the market again, but the pricing question is part of more than just the world of books — rather it’s the application of the Walmart model to that world, with amazon and B&N getting ahead of big W by trading on their specialization (though amazon contributes to this ultimately terminal conditioning of the consumer in other areas too).
    I also appreciate your reply to comment 1: there is an inexorability to the race to the price bottom that, until the whole thing crashes and burns, means you can participate on those terms or get right out of the whole business.
    I personally don’t believe the Justice Dept. approach will get very far if it’s an isolated case: the US business method is part of a social whole, and you can’t use Germany or France (or Japan, not to leave out perhaps an even stronger model) as a guide in one area where the entire culture is different in so many other ways.
    I don’t want to end negative, so let me add: small indie booksellers round here (western MA/eastern NY) are amazingly creative and work to pull people into the store by any means–and then we consumers buy stuff (not just books). Amazon doesn’t have stores, and who wants to go into a Walmart? If indies keep pushing an alternative to “low price is everything” maybe the consumer can be reconditioned?

  • http://agatepublishing.com Doug Seibold

    Why not lead a coalition of the willing? Put together a group willing to do it together. I would sign up.

  • http://agatepublishing.com Doug Seibold

    Why not lead a coalition of the willing? Put together a group willing to do it together. I would sign up.

  • http://mhpbooks.com/mobylives Dennis Johnson

    I would be delighted to align myself with Doug Seibold’s Agate Press for just about anything, but the fact is, the effort is doomed to falure if one of the big conglomerates doesn’t get behind it. (In fact, it would probably take more than one — I’m thinking here of how William Jovanovich of the old Harcourt, Brace, Jovanovich adopted a no-returns policy at one point in the early 1970s … and was left hanging by every other large house while booksellers stopped ordering his books. He finally had to capitulate — after an amazingly brave, two-year fight.) But as I should have made clear, I’m all over this like a cheap suit if one of them decides to try.

  • http://mhpbooks.com/mobylives Dennis Johnson

    I would be delighted to align myself with Doug Seibold’s Agate Press for just about anything, but the fact is, the effort is doomed to falure if one of the big conglomerates doesn’t get behind it. (In fact, it would probably take more than one — I’m thinking here of how William Jovanovich of the old Harcourt, Brace, Jovanovich adopted a no-returns policy at one point in the early 1970s … and was left hanging by every other large house while booksellers stopped ordering his books. He finally had to capitulate — after an amazingly brave, two-year fight.) But as I should have made clear, I’m all over this like a cheap suit if one of them decides to try.

  • Leono

    Absolutely brilliant post. Fascinating.

  • Leono

    Absolutely brilliant post. Fascinating.

  • http://agatepublishing.com Doug Seibold

    Let’s see who we can coax out onto our ledge…

  • http://agatepublishing.com Doug Seibold

    Let’s see who we can coax out onto our ledge…

  • Kris

    Great post, and interesting discussion. Two questions: What are the chances of a giant publisher attempting this, and whatever happened to Jovanovich?

  • Kris

    Great post, and interesting discussion. Two questions: What are the chances of a giant publisher attempting this, and whatever happened to Jovanovich?